New Poll Suggests Trump Is the Clear Front-Runner for 2024


Donald Trump at RNC Convention
Getty Images / Chip Somodevilla


Elise Stefanik, the House Republican Conference Chairwoman, contends that the “Trump freight train” is barreling forward at full speed, primed for primary and general election victories. And she’s not just blowing hot air, there’s data to back her up. A recent poll from Sienna College shows that a whopping 60 percent of New York Republicans are rallying behind former President Donald Trump for the Republican presidential nomination.

Now, let’s break down these numbers. Out of the remaining 40 percent, 32 percent favor another politician or declared candidate, while 8 percent are undecided. Seven other candidates are squabbling over that 32 percent, with Ron DeSantis of Florida nabbing the lion’s share at 28 percent. He’s followed by former Vice President Mike Pence at 14 percent, former Governor Nikki Haley at 8 percent, and former Representative Liz Cheney at 6 percent. Senators Tim Scott and former Governor Asa Hutchinson secure 4 percent and 2 percent respectively, while Governor Kristi Noem lags behind with 1 percent.

Let’s also compare this to what’s occurring on the other side of the aisle. Interestingly, Trump has firmer support among New York Republicans than Biden has with Empire State Democrats. Just over half of the Democrats want Biden to be the nominee, while 40 percent believe the party should nominate a different candidate. Among those yearning for an alternative, Vice President Kamala Harris, Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders are tied, with 10 percent support each.

It’s clear that Trump’s influence remains potent within the GOP, especially in New York. Meanwhile, Democrats appear to be grappling with divided loyalties and a thirst for fresh faces. So, will the Trump freight train barrel through the 2024 elections? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure, it’s going to be a fascinating ride.


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